Here are six infographics illustrating the new poussée du Covid in France

Is this the premise of a seventh wave of coronavirus. Some warning signs. “There is a resurgence of the epidemic and it is perfectly unexpected compared to the season” the infectiologist claimed last weekend Benjamin Davido, Covid-19 referent at the Garches Hospital in Hauts-de-Seine, interviewed by Franceinfo. Since the beginning of June, the number of positive cases has been increasing, as has the number of hospitalizations. These are the last ones

100,000 cases in July?

On June 1, more than 25,000 new contaminations were recorded. 15 days later, that’s double. The average for the past week is over 50,000 cases a day, for the first time since May 2. In the last 24 hours, 95,217 were registered, up 46% compared to last Tuesday.

If the curve continues to rise, the threshold of 100,000 daily cases could be clear at the start of the school holidays in early July. By comparison, compared to last year at the same time, there were less than 5,000 daily cases and the peak of the Delta wave was to be reached in July.

The number of tests performed increases

In two weeks, the number of tests increased by 26%. Between June 6 and 12, nearly 1.3 million PCR and antigen tests were valid, the statistics department (Drees) said in a statement. That’s three times less than at the end of March. During the Christmas holidays, almost millions of tests were performed.

We can also see, thanks to the curve below, that all age groups are affected by this increase in the epidemic, both the youngest and the oldest. It was first those under the age of 50 who became infected, and then the positivity rate increased in those over the age of 60.

Increased hospitalizations

According to data from Santé Publice France, the consequences of this increase in cases are still limited for hospitals. However, hospitalizations increased: + 14% in the last two weeks. I three weeks ago, there were less than 400 admissions per day on average, today there are almost 600. The last peak dates back to April, with more than 25,000 hospitalizations, including just under 850 in care critics.

Două explicții: first there is a delay between contamination and the development of a severe form of the disease, and then the effectiveness of the vaccine against severe forms of Covid-19. The name of entry into critical care remains stable.

The number of deaths is also not increasing. Over the weekend, between 40 and 50 deaths from Covid-19 were recorded each day. In late April and early May, there were more than a hundred deaths daily.

How to explain this increase

If the virus spreads again at high speed, it is due to several variants of Omicron: BA.4, BA.5 and BA2.12.1. “The epidemic curve is exponential in France” found on franceinfo Antoine Flahaultepidemiologist and director of the Institute of Global Health at the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Geneva. “With the current new variants, which are 10 to 15% more contagious, the epidemic is finding fresh blood even as the cold season has passed.” analyzes his side, the infectiologist Benjamin Davido.

After Guillaume Rozier, bCovid Tracker site developer, on Twitter : „We see a similar epidemic rise in our neighbors (Italy, Germany, etc.). Some countries have already passed this wave (Portugal, South Africa) which peaked at half the number of cases lower than the Omicron wave, but a number of hospitalizations are close. “

For its part, the government “don’t talk about the wave “ at this point, but “be extremely vigilant “ said spokeswoman Olivia Gregory on Tuesday, announcing “Communication to the Council of Ministers on 22 June” on the measures that the executive intends to maintain after the end of the regime of exit from the state of health emergency, scheduled for July 31.

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